Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (100-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto * | 30 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 28 | 6-17 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 24 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mike Scott | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 17 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kyle O'Quinn | 7 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter