Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -18 (104-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 17-28 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 44 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 36 | 3-15 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 29 | 7-13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 29 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 31 | 10-25 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 18 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 17 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 16 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 16 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter