Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -12 (109-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 25 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 19 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 28 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 23 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 39 | 12-22 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker * | 32 | 11-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 29 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyrone Wallace | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter