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2019-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 (35.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Log Adjusted 44.9% 55.1% -
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +32 (118-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 6-12 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 14 - -
Ja Morant * 25 3-13 0-1 2-3 2 7 0 0 8 - -
Jae Crowder * 24 3-7 2-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Dillon Brooks * 22 0-7 0-1 3-3 4 1 0 2 3 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 21 6-11 2-4 1-1 9 0 0 0 15 - -
Brandon Clarke 24 5-12 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 1 13 - -
Marko Guduric 24 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Kyle Anderson 20 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 3 1 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 17 4-7 1-2 0-0 0 6 1 0 9 - -
Solomon Hill 17 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Bruno Caboclo 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
De'Anthony Melton 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 31 7-11 0-2 3-3 4 2 1 0 17 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 9-16 1-3 4-5 16 6 2 1 23 - -
Jonathan Isaac * 29 9-11 1-3 3-4 8 0 1 4 22 - -
Evan Fournier * 27 7-13 2-4 3-3 7 6 0 1 19 - -
Markelle Fultz * 23 2-7 0-1 3-4 2 1 2 2 7 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 25 1-7 1-3 3-4 6 3 1 0 6 - -
D.J. Augustin 24 5-11 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 13 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu 18 1-6 1-5 2-2 3 2 2 1 5 - -
Mo Bamba 13 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 4 - -
Wes Iwundu 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Amile Jefferson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Khem Birch 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter