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2019-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 81.9% 18.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -
Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% -
Log Adjusted 25.5% 74.5% -
Points Off/Def 30.0% 70.0% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luke Kennard * 41 11-21 4-9 3-3 6 5 0 0 29 - -
Bruce Brown * 37 5-13 0-1 0-2 6 4 3 0 10 - -
Tony Snell * 33 4-10 3-8 0-0 2 2 1 0 11 - -
Andre Drummond * 33 6-14 0-2 3-4 13 8 0 1 15 - -
Markieff Morris * 25 5-10 2-5 1-1 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Langston Galloway 31 5-11 3-6 6-6 3 3 0 1 19 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 16 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Christian Wood 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Thon Maker 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 38 6-14 0-2 5-6 14 6 0 1 17 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 32 4-11 0-1 3-3 6 2 2 0 11 - -
T.J. Warren * 32 7-16 0-1 3-3 4 0 1 1 17 - -
Aaron Holiday * 28 2-7 0-2 2-2 6 5 2 0 6 - -
JaKarr Sampson * 27 4-5 0-1 2-3 2 0 1 1 10 - -
Justin Holiday 30 4-7 2-5 6-7 6 0 0 4 16 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 8-10 0-0 1-1 5 9 0 1 17 - -
Doug McDermott 19 6-11 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 14 - -
TJ Leaf 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter