Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (121-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 32 | 7-10 | 5-6 | 8-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 31 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 19-23 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 22 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 22 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 19 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter