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2019-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 76.1% 23.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% - ✓
Margin 81.3% 18.7% -8.1 ✓ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% - ✓
Efficiency 87.1% 12.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 70.7% 29.3% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -21 (87-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 32 5-9 0-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Gordon Hayward * 29 9-16 1-5 1-1 10 6 1 0 20 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 4-12 3-9 3-3 2 6 1 0 14 - -
Jayson Tatum * 28 8-17 4-6 3-4 9 1 2 1 23 - -
Daniel Theis * 19 2-8 0-1 1-2 7 2 0 2 5 - -
Marcus Smart 22 2-8 1-4 1-1 2 5 2 0 6 - -
Brad Wanamaker 16 3-4 1-1 2-2 3 3 2 0 9 - -
Grant Williams 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 - -
Robert Williams III 13 2-2 0-0 3-6 5 1 2 0 7 - -
Javonte Green 12 5-9 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Carsen Edwards 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Vincent Poirier 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 33 8-14 2-5 0-0 10 1 0 2 18 - -
P.J. Washington * 27 1-8 0-1 2-3 8 2 0 4 4 - -
Terry Rozier * 26 1-11 0-3 1-1 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 21 3-9 1-3 1-2 4 1 1 1 8 - -
Cody Zeller * 19 2-6 0-1 1-2 10 1 0 0 5 - -
Devonte' Graham 30 5-14 2-10 3-5 4 9 2 0 15 - -
Malik Monk 21 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 4 - -
Marvin Williams 17 4-7 0-2 1-1 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Cody Martin 16 2-4 0-1 3-3 3 3 2 0 7 - -
Bismack Biyombo 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
Willy Hernangomez 6 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 5 - -
Caleb Martin 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter