Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +1 (107-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 33 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac * | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 10-21 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter