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2019-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 36.3% 63.7% +3.1 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Log Adjusted 38.7% 61.3% -
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +16 (137-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 34 11-21 3-8 5-8 2 6 2 1 30 20 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 33 8-19 3-11 6-6 13 2 0 2 25 23 -
Jarrett Culver * 29 5-13 2-5 3-6 5 7 0 0 15 14 -
Robert Covington * 26 5-11 3-8 0-0 2 0 2 2 13 8 -
Josh Okogie * 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 9 -
Treveon Graham 31 4-9 2-3 0-0 6 4 1 1 10 13 -
Jake Layman 22 3-7 1-3 2-2 0 2 3 0 9 7 -
Jordan McLaughlin 21 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 0 -
Noah Vonleh 15 1-3 0-1 3-4 4 4 0 1 5 11 -
Gorgui Dieng 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Jaylen Nowell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 33 6-8 4-6 2-4 3 2 2 1 18 18 -
Dillon Brooks * 30 9-16 5-7 8-8 4 2 0 0 31 21 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 5-9 0-0 0-0 14 4 0 0 10 19 -
Ja Morant * 25 9-19 0-0 8-10 4 4 0 0 26 15 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 1 -
Tyus Jones 23 3-6 0-1 2-2 1 5 1 0 8 9 -
Brandon Clarke 21 7-7 0-0 4-4 8 2 0 0 18 21 -
Kyle Anderson 18 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 4 0 0 7 10 -
Marko Guduric 16 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 7 10 -
Bruno Caboclo 13 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 2 5 7 -
Solomon Hill 12 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 7 8 -

* = starter