Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +17 (129-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ky Bowman * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall * | 33 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 26 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 31 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 27 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 18 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danuel House Jr. * | 38 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 37 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 19 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 35 | 10-23 | 6-16 | 10-13 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 36 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 30 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 27 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter