Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (124-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 8-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 31 | 7-16 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 31 | 7-14 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 18 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 39 | 8-15 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 37 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 23 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter