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2019-11-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.0% 58.0% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.7 (21.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% -
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Log Adjusted 61.9% 38.1% -
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -20 (93-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 34 6-11 4-7 1-2 5 4 0 3 17 18 -
Zach LaVine * 30 4-10 0-2 2-2 8 4 2 2 10 16 -
Tomas Satoransky * 30 10-13 4-5 3-4 7 8 1 0 27 30 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 3 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 11 5-6 3-4 0-0 4 2 2 1 13 16 -
Coby White 29 3-13 1-7 3-6 2 3 0 0 10 2 -
Kris Dunn 20 6-8 0-0 1-1 3 1 5 0 13 14 -
Thaddeus Young 19 1-6 1-4 0-2 3 2 0 0 3 2 -
Chandler Hutchison 18 2-6 0-1 5-7 4 1 0 0 9 8 -
Ryan Arcidiacono 18 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 6 -
Luke Kornet 6 1-2 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Shaquille Harrison 3 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Daniel Gafford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 29 3-12 0-8 3-3 3 3 0 0 9 3 -
Jabari Parker * 29 6-12 1-4 5-5 5 1 2 1 18 15 -
De'Andre Hunter * 26 1-7 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 4 4 -
Cam Reddish * 23 1-8 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 1 -
Alex Len * 11 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 2 6 8 -
DeAndre' Bembry 25 3-4 0-0 3-6 3 4 0 0 9 12 -
Kevin Huerter 23 4-10 1-4 3-5 2 2 2 0 12 8 -
Bruno Fernando 20 4-5 0-0 2-3 6 2 1 0 10 14 -
Tyrone Wallace 16 1-3 0-1 0-2 2 1 1 0 2 3 -
Vince Carter 16 4-8 3-6 3-3 5 1 1 0 14 13 -
Damian Jones 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 -
Charles Brown Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter