Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +15 (121-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 41 | 12-29 | 1-12 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 11 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 19 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - | |
| Isaac Bonga * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 28 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - | |
| CJ Miles | 23 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 17 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 35 | 3-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 31 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 30 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 29 | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 23 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 30 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 16 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter