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2019-11-07

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 56.1% 43.9% -1.4 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +20 (122-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Ntilikina * 38 5-7 1-1 0-2 1 4 1 3 11 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 4-12 1-2 6-11 6 8 2 0 15 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 32 7-14 3-7 1-1 4 1 3 0 18 - -
Julius Randle * 32 8-15 3-5 1-2 3 2 1 1 20 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 7 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Knox II 26 5-7 2-3 2-2 2 1 2 0 14 - -
Taj Gibson 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 6 - -
Bobby Portis 20 1-6 0-1 1-1 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Wayne Ellington 14 1-5 0-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Allonzo Trier 3 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damyean Dotson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 34 12-16 0-0 3-4 12 7 1 0 27 - -
Bruce Brown * 34 3-9 1-2 2-2 3 6 1 0 9 - -
Tony Snell * 32 9-9 6-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 24 - -
Luke Kennard * 32 4-12 1-7 3-4 9 7 0 0 12 - -
Markieff Morris * 29 7-11 4-7 4-5 4 5 2 0 22 - -
Langston Galloway 23 3-7 1-3 6-6 2 6 1 0 13 - -
Christian Wood 18 3-8 1-2 0-0 8 1 1 1 7 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Thon Maker 13 3-3 1-1 0-1 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Khyri Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Jordan Bone 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter