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Orlando Magic 94
@
Oklahoma City Thunder 102
2019-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% - ✓
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 ✓ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - ✓
Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +8 (102-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 33 4-15 0-3 2-2 12 2 0 2 10 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 0-7 0-2 4-4 5 1 2 0 4 - -
Jonathan Isaac * 31 5-9 1-4 2-2 10 0 0 3 13 - -
Aaron Gordon * 28 6-13 0-3 3-4 7 3 0 0 15 - -
Markelle Fultz * 23 5-10 1-2 2-2 3 4 1 0 13 - -
D.J. Augustin 27 3-10 0-4 7-8 1 2 0 0 13 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu 25 4-5 0-0 5-5 5 1 2 0 13 - -
Terrence Ross 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 1 6 - -
Mo Bamba 14 3-8 1-3 0-2 7 0 0 2 7 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 9-14 3-5 3-4 3 2 1 1 24 - -
Chris Paul * 32 6-15 2-6 6-6 2 6 3 0 20 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 26 6-17 3-10 1-2 4 2 1 0 16 - -
Steven Adams * 25 5-7 0-0 1-2 11 3 0 1 11 - -
Terrance Ferguson * 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Dennis Schroder 31 2-11 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Darius Bazley 23 4-11 2-5 0-0 6 1 2 0 10 - -
Hamidou Diallo 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 6 1 2 2 6 - -
Nerlens Noel 16 1-2 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 1 5 - -
Mike Muscala 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter