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2019-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% -
Margin 51.0% 49.0% -0.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% -
Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Log Adjusted 77.3% 22.7% -
Points Off/Def 66.2% 33.8% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -6 (112-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 10-19 2-6 8-9 10 11 2 1 30 - -
Anthony Davis * 31 6-15 1-2 2-2 7 3 1 3 15 - -
Danny Green * 25 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 2 1 7 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 21 3-7 1-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 8 - -
JaVale McGee * 16 4-4 0-0 2-3 6 3 1 2 10 - -
Quinn Cook 26 6-9 3-4 2-3 4 2 1 1 17 - -
Alex Caruso 23 2-8 1-4 2-3 3 1 2 0 7 - -
Dwight Howard 23 3-4 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 1 6 - -
Kyle Kuzma 21 7-16 1-8 0-1 4 0 0 1 15 - -
Troy Daniels 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Jared Dudley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 33 9-18 3-7 5-7 7 7 2 0 26 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 4-9 0-1 3-6 11 0 0 1 11 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 30 2-8 2-5 1-2 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 27 7-12 4-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 18 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 26 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 6 1 0 7 - -
Coby White 23 7-15 1-5 3-3 5 4 1 0 18 - -
Kris Dunn 17 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 2 3 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 2 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 16 4-6 0-1 0-2 3 1 2 1 8 - -
Chandler Hutchison 14 2-2 1-1 0-3 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Shaquille Harrison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter