Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 31 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 26 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 26 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 12 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Andre Hunter * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker * | 31 | 9-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 29 | 10-23 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 28 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tyrone Wallace | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter