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2019-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% -
Bradley-Terry 55.0% 45.0% -
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 66.2% 33.8% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% -
Log Adjusted 84.9% 15.1% -
Points Off/Def 74.2% 25.8% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 (113-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 34 9-16 0-5 0-0 7 1 1 2 18 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 2-6 2-6 2-3 5 4 1 0 8 - -
Gordon Hayward * 33 17-20 1-4 4-4 7 8 0 0 39 - -
Kemba Walker * 33 8-19 6-8 3-4 8 3 1 2 25 - -
Daniel Theis * 30 2-7 0-1 1-2 9 1 0 5 5 - -
Brad Wanamaker 20 2-5 0-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 5 - -
Carsen Edwards 14 5-6 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 13 - -
Robert Williams III 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 2 6 - -
Grant Williams 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 37 7-15 0-1 5-6 13 4 0 1 19 - -
Collin Sexton * 35 6-14 2-3 7-7 1 3 0 1 21 - -
Cedi Osman * 32 4-13 3-7 1-2 5 3 1 0 12 - -
Kevin Love * 32 7-14 1-5 2-2 9 3 1 2 17 - -
Darius Garland * 28 2-11 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Jordan Clarkson 26 4-13 1-5 3-3 3 4 0 2 12 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 5-6 3-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 15 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Knight 12 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter