🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% - ✓
Margin 23.9% 76.1% +6.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.3% 41.7% - ✗
Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 67.2% 32.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% - ✗

Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (127-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 15-26 5-13 4-4 2 4 0 1 39 - -
Rodney Hood * 35 1-8 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 4 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 6-16 2-6 0-0 1 6 0 0 14 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 28 10-14 0-0 2-5 11 0 0 2 22 - -
Anthony Tolliver * 17 1-5 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 - -
Mario Hezonja 25 4-6 3-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 11 - -
Kent Bazemore 22 3-10 1-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 7 - -
Anfernee Simons 19 5-10 1-3 3-3 2 1 2 0 14 - -
Skal Labissiere 15 2-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 2 4 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Paschall * 39 11-19 4-6 8-8 13 0 0 1 34 - -
Ky Bowman * 37 9-14 1-3 0-0 4 8 0 0 19 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 30 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 3 0 0 5 - -
Jordan Poole * 30 3-16 2-9 8-8 3 5 0 1 16 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 15 4-5 0-0 2-2 3 2 2 0 10 - -
Damion Lee 29 4-8 0-1 10-11 4 3 2 0 18 - -
Alec Burks 27 4-12 1-4 4-5 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Omari Spellman 15 3-4 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 7 - -
Marquese Chriss 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 1 5 - -

* = starter