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2019-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% - ✓
Margin 35.4% 64.6% +3.3 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - ✗
Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Suns +5 (114-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Richardson * 38 3-11 1-4 1-2 3 5 0 0 8 - -
Tobias Harris * 37 10-20 1-6 3-5 10 2 2 0 24 - -
Ben Simmons * 35 2-8 0-0 2-2 5 6 7 0 6 - -
Al Horford * 34 13-20 5-8 1-2 5 4 2 1 32 - -
Furkan Korkmaz * 33 6-13 4-7 4-5 5 2 0 0 20 - -
Mike Scott 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Kyle O'Quinn 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 5 - -
Raul Neto 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
James Ennis III 11 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Matisse Thybulle 4 1-3 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ricky Rubio * 33 6-14 3-5 6-6 7 10 0 0 21 - -
Devin Booker * 32 15-19 3-4 7-7 4 3 0 1 40 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 32 5-9 1-2 3-6 6 1 0 1 14 - -
Aron Baynes * 31 6-9 3-5 0-0 7 6 1 2 15 - -
Dario Saric * 25 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 5 - -
Mikal Bridges 25 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 6 - -
Tyler Johnson 20 4-7 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Frank Kaminsky 20 0-5 0-3 3-6 4 2 0 1 3 - -
Jevon Carter 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 - -
Cameron Johnson 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter