Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 37 | 12-28 | 7-16 | 13-18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 44 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 36 | 6-15 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 34 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 32 | 5-17 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 30 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 7-18 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 28 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 24 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marko Guduric | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter