Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -20 (111-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 9-17 | 5-10 | 6-6 | 14 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 31 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 15 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 35 | 9-18 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 25 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 21 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Knight | 19 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter