Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -7 (96-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 8-23 | 0-6 | 5-10 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 10-20 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 26 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 28 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 20 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 15 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 26 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 26 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter