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2019-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +13 (108-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 31 8-19 4-8 1-2 5 2 0 0 21 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 3-9 1-4 4-5 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 28 9-10 0-0 2-6 10 2 0 0 20 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 27 1-10 1-4 1-2 3 3 1 1 4 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 26 4-6 1-3 0-0 4 9 2 0 9 - -
Thaddeus Young 25 6-12 0-3 0-2 3 1 3 0 12 - -
Coby White 23 0-6 0-2 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 - -
Kris Dunn 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 17 1-4 1-2 3-4 2 1 1 1 6 - -
Luke Kornet 10 3-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Shaquille Harrison 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 37 10-16 1-4 5-6 5 3 1 0 26 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 31 1-6 0-2 9-9 6 5 1 3 11 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 31 9-15 1-4 3-3 3 7 1 0 22 - -
JaKarr Sampson * 19 2-4 0-0 0-4 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Goga Bitadze * 18 4-7 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 4 9 - -
Justin Holiday 27 2-8 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 1 5 - -
TJ Leaf 21 6-13 1-2 0-0 15 1 1 1 13 - -
Aaron Holiday 17 3-6 2-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 9 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 16 2-7 1-4 2-3 3 3 0 0 7 - -

* = starter