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2019-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% -
Margin 60.5% 39.5% -2.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 62.5% 37.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Log Adjusted 60.2% 39.8% -
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -1 (128-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 36 7-16 0-0 4-5 11 8 2 0 18 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 10-15 1-2 2-2 7 3 1 2 23 - -
Josh Richardson * 35 7-15 1-6 2-2 4 6 1 1 17 - -
Al Horford * 30 12-24 1-4 0-0 5 7 1 2 25 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 2 1 3 - -
James Ennis III 24 2-2 1-1 2-2 7 1 3 0 7 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 19 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 2 11 - -
Kyle O'Quinn 17 4-9 1-4 0-1 7 5 0 0 9 - -
Mike Scott 16 5-9 2-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 12 - -
Raul Neto 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 11-16 8-11 3-3 5 9 2 0 33 - -
CJ McCollum * 38 6-15 0-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 16 - -
Mario Hezonja * 36 4-10 2-4 1-2 12 4 2 0 11 - -
Rodney Hood * 31 9-11 4-6 3-4 2 1 1 0 25 - -
Anthony Tolliver * 27 2-6 1-3 3-4 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Kent Bazemore 25 2-5 1-1 2-4 6 1 2 2 7 - -
Skal Labissiere 22 7-9 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 15 - -
Anfernee Simons 14 4-6 3-5 2-2 1 2 0 1 13 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter