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2019-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 74.3% 25.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Log Adjusted 47.5% 52.5% -
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -9 (105-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ricky Rubio * 35 4-12 1-4 2-3 5 6 3 0 11 - -
Devin Booker * 31 8-13 3-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 21 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 28 7-14 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 15 - -
Aron Baynes * 27 6-10 4-7 4-5 2 4 1 0 20 - -
Dario Saric * 24 4-11 1-5 0-0 7 1 1 1 9 - -
Frank Kaminsky 22 5-10 0-3 4-6 5 1 0 1 14 - -
Tyler Johnson 20 3-4 3-3 0-0 0 5 0 0 9 - -
Mikal Bridges 19 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 4 0 10 - -
Cameron Johnson 17 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 28 9-16 2-3 4-4 3 7 1 0 24 - -
Jae Crowder * 26 0-8 0-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 24 6-9 1-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 13 - -
Dillon Brooks * 23 6-12 2-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 16 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 22 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 3 7 - -
Solomon Hill 23 2-5 1-3 1-2 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 22 7-9 1-1 1-2 11 0 3 2 16 - -
Tyus Jones 22 3-7 0-3 0-3 0 6 2 0 6 - -
Kyle Anderson 19 3-7 0-2 2-4 4 2 0 2 8 - -
Marko Guduric 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 0 2 - -
Grayson Allen 10 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Bruno Caboclo 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 - -

* = starter