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2019-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 80.2% 19.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% - ✓
Margin 68.8% 31.2% -4.3 ✓ (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - ✗
Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% - ✗

Actual: Washington Wizards -22 (109-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff Teague * 27 6-12 2-5 1-1 4 13 3 0 15 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 26 7-16 4-9 3-4 5 6 0 1 21 - -
Gorgui Dieng * 23 7-9 2-2 2-3 8 1 2 3 18 - -
Robert Covington * 19 7-10 3-5 3-3 4 1 0 2 20 - -
Treveon Graham * 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Josh Okogie 29 4-6 0-2 1-2 4 4 2 0 9 - -
Jake Layman 26 5-10 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 14 - -
Jarrett Culver 26 8-17 4-9 0-2 5 1 1 0 20 - -
Shabazz Napier 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 - -
Noah Vonleh 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 6 - -
Jordan Bell 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ish Smith * 31 3-8 1-2 0-0 3 4 1 1 7 - -
Bradley Beal * 27 8-19 3-8 11-13 0 1 1 0 30 - -
Rui Hachimura * 22 2-11 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Thomas Bryant * 19 1-6 0-2 1-2 10 2 2 1 3 - -
Isaac Bonga * 18 0-5 0-1 3-4 3 1 2 0 3 - -
Moritz Wagner 28 6-9 0-2 2-2 5 0 2 0 14 - -
Davis Bertans 27 2-10 2-7 2-2 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 3 1 4 - -
Isaiah Thomas 19 6-14 2-6 2-2 4 7 0 1 16 - -
Admiral Schofield 14 5-5 3-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 15 - -
Justin Robinson 9 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -

* = starter