Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.4% | 29.6% | -4.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -4 (87-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 13 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Isaac * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 33 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 22 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter