Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +11 (115-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 34 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 26 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 22 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 29 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 29 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 18 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter