Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -17 (110-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 26 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 26 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 22 | 10-16 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 17 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 33 | 9-24 | 3-11 | 9-10 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 28 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 25 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 15 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter