Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (110-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 42 | 15-28 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 42 | 13-23 | 4-9 | 9-11 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 18 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 10-23 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 13 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 31 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter