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2019-11-02

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% -
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% -
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 35 11-17 0-2 3-5 24 2 2 3 25 - -
Luke Kennard * 32 6-11 3-8 0-0 3 4 1 0 15 - -
Markieff Morris * 31 5-12 1-6 1-2 4 1 1 0 12 - -
Tony Snell * 27 2-5 0-3 2-2 0 2 1 0 6 - -
Tim Frazier * 16 1-7 0-0 1-2 2 2 2 0 3 - -
Derrick Rose 24 8-13 0-0 7-9 1 7 3 1 23 - -
Langston Galloway 22 4-10 2-6 1-1 2 2 1 0 11 - -
Bruce Brown 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 - -
Christian Wood 14 3-6 0-2 3-3 4 0 0 3 9 - -
Thon Maker 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 6-9 1-1 3-5 11 2 0 0 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 32 8-20 3-9 7-8 5 3 0 0 26 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 31 8-12 3-4 3-5 6 4 1 0 22 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 26 2-6 1-2 2-2 0 6 0 0 7 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 25 4-9 3-7 3-3 5 4 2 0 14 - -
Thaddeus Young 28 3-7 2-4 0-0 9 2 3 1 8 - -
Coby White 19 4-12 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Kris Dunn 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 15 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter