Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +15 (122-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 27 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 25 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 21 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 20 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 9-11 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 31 | 7-17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 19 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter