Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -11 (110-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 10-21 | 6-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 20 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 31 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 28 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 29 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 17 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 14 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Tyler Johnson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Paschall * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 21 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 22 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 21 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 12 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter