Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +12 (125-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 35 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 18 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 26 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 20 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 13-21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 31 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 28 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Patrick McCaw | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter