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2019-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% -
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% -
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +11 (116-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 34 8-13 0-2 6-10 14 5 1 2 22 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 10-15 3-6 3-3 6 3 0 0 26 - -
Wesley Matthews * 30 1-8 1-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 27 3-8 1-4 0-3 5 5 0 0 7 - -
Brook Lopez * 26 2-8 1-5 5-6 3 2 0 2 10 - -
Pat Connaughton 21 2-8 2-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
George Hill 20 5-9 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Kyle Korver 16 3-6 2-5 1-2 0 0 1 0 9 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 7 - -
Robin Lopez 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 38 7-16 5-11 0-0 4 6 1 0 19 - -
Kemba Walker * 38 7-19 4-11 14-15 6 6 0 0 32 - -
Jayson Tatum * 38 10-22 4-7 1-2 4 2 0 1 25 - -
Gordon Hayward * 37 9-17 3-6 0-0 10 7 1 1 21 - -
Daniel Theis * 27 5-8 1-3 0-0 9 1 0 1 11 - -
Semi Ojeleye 19 1-3 0-1 1-2 5 0 1 0 3 - -
Grant Williams 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Robert Williams III 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 - -
Brad Wanamaker 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Javonte Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter