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2019-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - ✓
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 ✓ (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% - ✓
Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 25.7% 74.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +22 (117-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 33 6-16 1-6 6-6 5 2 1 1 19 - -
Robert Covington * 25 2-7 1-4 2-2 3 0 1 2 7 - -
Jeff Teague * 24 6-13 2-4 1-2 1 5 0 0 15 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 22 5-7 3-5 0-0 6 1 2 1 13 - -
Treveon Graham * 21 1-5 0-4 4-4 4 0 2 0 6 - -
Shabazz Napier 24 4-9 2-6 3-3 0 1 2 0 13 - -
Jake Layman 23 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 6 - -
Josh Okogie 21 0-2 0-0 3-6 6 1 3 1 3 - -
Noah Vonleh 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Jarrett Culver 15 2-8 1-4 1-4 0 1 1 0 6 - -
Jordan Bell 12 2-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 5 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 33 7-15 1-3 3-3 9 2 1 0 18 - -
Al Horford * 33 5-12 1-3 1-2 16 4 0 0 12 - -
Ben Simmons * 32 7-13 0-0 2-4 3 7 3 2 16 - -
Josh Richardson * 31 4-10 2-4 2-4 4 1 4 0 12 - -
Joel Embiid * 20 7-14 1-1 4-4 5 2 1 1 19 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 21 5-10 3-8 4-5 0 2 0 0 17 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 2-5 1-3 4-4 1 3 4 2 9 - -
James Ennis III 18 3-7 0-1 2-2 11 1 0 1 8 - -
Mike Scott 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Kyle O'Quinn 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Raul Neto 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jonah Bolden 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter