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2019-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% -
Points Off/Def 54.1% 45.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (117-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 31 6-14 4-8 0-0 0 2 1 0 16 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 27 4-12 2-6 6-8 8 3 0 1 16 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 5-8 0-1 5-6 8 0 0 2 15 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 27 2-5 2-2 2-2 2 8 0 0 8 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 27 5-10 1-2 4-5 5 3 0 0 15 - -
Thaddeus Young 22 6-14 2-7 0-0 5 1 1 0 14 - -
Coby White 20 3-12 2-7 0-0 1 1 2 0 8 - -
Kris Dunn 20 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 8 - -
Luke Kornet 18 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 2 9 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 16 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 35 11-19 0-0 1-3 10 2 0 5 23 - -
Kevin Love * 31 6-10 1-3 4-5 20 6 1 0 17 - -
Cedi Osman * 30 4-6 4-5 0-0 4 3 1 1 12 - -
Collin Sexton * 28 7-12 1-4 3-4 2 2 0 0 18 - -
Darius Garland * 25 4-11 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 9 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 29 3-9 1-4 5-6 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Clarkson 25 4-6 1-1 8-9 0 4 0 0 17 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 20 2-4 1-2 4-4 4 2 0 1 9 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter