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2019-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% - ✓
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.7 ✓ (28.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% - ✓
Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +29 (120-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 27 3-8 1-6 2-3 5 1 0 0 9 - -
Ja Morant * 25 6-13 1-3 3-3 3 2 2 0 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 5-10 0-2 4-4 11 2 0 0 14 - -
Dillon Brooks * 22 2-7 1-4 3-3 3 4 1 0 8 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 18 2-10 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 7 - -
Marko Guduric 22 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 - -
Grayson Allen 21 4-14 1-6 4-4 5 1 2 0 13 - -
Brandon Clarke 18 4-9 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 10 - -
Kyle Anderson 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Tyus Jones 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 - -
Solomon Hill 13 2-6 2-4 2-2 4 1 2 1 8 - -
Bruno Caboclo 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
De'Anthony Melton 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 30 7-17 0-2 26-27 20 2 0 2 40 - -
JaVale McGee * 29 5-7 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 1 10 - -
LeBron James * 28 8-15 2-5 5-7 2 8 0 1 23 - -
Avery Bradley * 23 5-9 1-1 1-3 3 1 2 0 12 - -
Danny Green * 19 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 8 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 28 6-11 0-1 1-1 6 3 0 1 13 - -
Quinn Cook 22 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Troy Daniels 20 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Dwight Howard 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 2 2 - -
Alex Caruso 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 3 1 0 - -
Jared Dudley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter