Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | -3.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -7 (94-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 28 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 18 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 16 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 34 | 4-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 33 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 22 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 19 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter