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2019-10-29

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +3 (113-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 9-28 3-10 7-8 9 7 0 2 28 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 10-22 3-6 4-5 3 5 0 0 27 - -
Rodney Hood * 33 3-7 1-4 4-4 3 0 1 1 11 - -
Anthony Tolliver * 28 1-4 1-4 2-2 10 3 1 0 5 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 24 4-9 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Kent Bazemore 24 1-9 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 3 3 - -
Anfernee Simons 21 5-9 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 10 - -
Mario Hezonja 18 2-7 2-5 2-2 6 1 1 1 8 - -
Skal Labissiere 12 4-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 10 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 33 10-16 0-0 7-9 7 0 2 0 27 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 33 6-17 0-1 3-4 7 3 1 5 15 - -
Bryn Forbes * 29 4-11 2-6 4-4 7 0 0 0 14 - -
Trey Lyles * 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 8 4 0 0 0 - -
Dejounte Murray * 22 3-8 0-1 1-2 7 8 1 1 7 - -
Derrick White 25 8-11 0-0 5-6 5 3 0 0 21 - -
Patty Mills 22 4-8 3-6 1-2 2 3 1 0 12 - -
Rudy Gay 19 2-4 1-3 3-4 4 1 0 2 8 - -
Marco Belinelli 17 3-7 1-3 0-1 0 2 0 0 7 - -
Jakob Poeltl 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -

* = starter