Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -11 (123-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 33 | 9-21 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 9-17 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 26 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 27 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 31 | 10-23 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 25 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 26 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 23 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 23 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 23 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter