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2019-10-29

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 ✓ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% - ✓
Efficiency 1.3% 98.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 11.8% 88.2% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +17 (129-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan Thompson * 33 8-18 0-0 1-2 13 4 0 0 17 - -
Kevin Love * 33 5-12 3-10 2-2 16 2 0 0 15 - -
Collin Sexton * 30 8-15 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 18 - -
Cedi Osman * 27 4-8 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Darius Garland * 23 4-11 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Jordan Clarkson 25 6-13 2-6 3-3 0 4 0 0 17 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 6-9 2-4 1-2 8 1 1 2 15 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 21 2-5 0-2 1-1 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 16 1-7 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Tyler Cook 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 5-15 0-2 4-8 10 7 0 2 14 - -
Khris Middleton * 28 9-14 3-5 0-0 8 2 1 0 21 - -
Wesley Matthews * 28 5-9 2-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 14 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 5-9 3-7 3-3 5 1 3 2 16 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 26 6-16 0-4 2-3 4 8 1 0 14 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 6-8 4-5 1-1 4 4 0 0 17 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 19 1-5 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 - -
George Hill 19 7-10 1-2 4-7 8 3 2 0 19 - -
Kyle Korver 18 3-3 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 9 - -
Robin Lopez 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 2 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
D.J. Wilson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter