Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +4 (116-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 8-21 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 34 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 33 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 17 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danuel House Jr. * | 37 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 36 | 8-21 | 3-14 | 21-22 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 40 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| PJ Tucker * | 33 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 36 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter