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2019-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 53.2% 46.8% -0.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% -
Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% -
Log Adjusted 78.0% 22.0% -
Points Off/Def 67.3% 32.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -2 (103-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 38 5-16 1-9 2-3 5 5 1 0 13 - -
Ben Simmons * 37 6-11 0-0 1-2 6 6 1 1 13 - -
Al Horford * 32 1-4 1-2 2-2 9 2 1 4 5 - -
Joel Embiid * 32 12-19 2-6 10-10 13 5 3 1 36 - -
Josh Richardson * 30 6-14 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 3 14 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 2-8 2-7 2-4 3 0 4 2 8 - -
Shake Milton 12 2-5 2-5 3-4 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Mike Scott 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
James Ennis III 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Kyle O'Quinn 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 34 7-20 2-5 9-10 4 9 0 0 25 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 30 4-8 2-4 4-7 9 1 1 0 14 - -
John Collins * 28 6-10 1-2 3-4 8 1 1 1 16 - -
Cameron Reddish * 26 2-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 4 - -
Alex Len * 18 2-7 0-4 1-2 3 3 1 0 5 - -
Jabari Parker 22 2-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Huerter 20 2-5 1-3 1-1 2 3 2 0 6 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 20 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Bruno Fernando 15 5-7 1-2 0-2 4 2 0 2 11 - -
Vince Carter 10 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Evan Turner 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 2 0 2 - -
Damian Jones 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter