Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +2 (96-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 38 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 37 | 9-22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 34 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| TJ Leaf | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 38 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 30 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose | 26 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 21 | 8-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 16 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter