Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (116-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justise Winslow * | 42 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 40 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 27 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 23 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 35 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 34 | 8-21 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague * | 31 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Treveon Graham * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 19 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shabazz Napier | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter