Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (119-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 40 | 13-26 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 10-20 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood * | 31 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Skal Labissiere | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 8-22 | 2-11 | 11-14 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 34 | 11-23 | 3-10 | 7-10 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 24 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright * | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 24 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter