Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +28 (120-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 7-18 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 23 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jacob Evans | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 12 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Ferguson * | 29 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 21 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 25 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Patton | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter