Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (124-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 38 | 8-25 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith * | 29 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 32 | 7-7 | 5-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas | 19 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 17 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 11-24 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 33 | 10-17 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 32 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 23 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 27 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter